It’s only been one week since Chris Christie trounced his opponent in New Jersey, so naturally there’s already chatter about 2016. According to an NBC News poll released Tuesday, Christie would get 32 percent of likely Republican voters in a GOP primary—although 31 percent said they would prefer another (unnamed) candidate. Christie certainly has his base nailed down: 57 percent of Northeast Republicans back him, but party members in other parts of the country don't seem so sure, with just 29 percent of Southern voters backing him. And there’s the Hillary Clinton challenge: 44 percent of all adults back Clinton, with just 34 percent throwing their support behind Christie. Clinton leads in every region and every ethnicity—and she has 65 percent support of her own party.