How good must Barack Obama be feeling going into tonight's debate? George Stephanopoulos reports that, as of yesterday, the Democratic presidential nominee had a lead in every state John Kerry won in 2004, and looked poised to steal Iowa and New Mexico from Bush's column. Should those states hold, Obama will need to win just one swing state on November 4 to secure victory—and currently, he is leading or within the margin of error in eight toss-up states. Obama's spate of good data includes an ABC Poll yesterday showing him with a six-point lead in Ohio. John McCain should take note: No Republican has ever gone to Washington without winning the Buckeye State.