Election 2010

How Badly Will the Dems Lose?

Is it time to start asking not if the Democrats will lose the House in November, but how badly they will lose it? Harry Joe crunches the numbers and they don’t look good: Even if you factor out polls that Democrats say are biased against them, Republicans still register their most favorable generic-ballot results under a Democratic president since 1946. (The generic ballot poses some form of the question: “If Congressional elections were held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your district?”) Joe notes that Republicans could “easily gain” 50 to 60 seats in November and a gain of greater than 60 seats also looks “quite possible.”